Three Buddy Problem·May 15, 2026·1h 50m

The AI-powered 10x patch tsunami has arrived. Now what?

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(Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.)

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 98: We dive back into the fast16 malware discovery with fresh speculation that it's targeting spherical implosion simulations for Iran's nuclear program, and wonder who on earth is qualified to confirm this.

Plus, thoughts on OpenAI's new three-tier cyber access program, Microsoft's MDASH harness, the 10x Patch Tuesday tsunami, Cloudflare's 1,100 layoffs blamed on AI, and why frontier-lab guardrails may just be elaborate security theater.

Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu.

Timestamps:
0:00 - Introductory banter
3:19 - fast16 update: spherical implosion simulations?
9:01 - Manhattan Project precedent — why this matches Iran
12:28 - Who can actually reproduce the FAST 16 attack?
19:32 - Google GTIG's "AI-written" zero-day
22:13 - The rise of AI-backend "silent detections"
25:54 - Guardrails as security theater
38:47 - Are the 10x patch numbers real defense?
43:48 - OpenAI's Trusted Access tiers + Microsoft MDASH
53:35 - End of the ‘patch-and-pray’ model
57:50 - Sean Heelan: strict harnesses can make models worse
1:03:51 - Pwn2Own Berlin overflow and bug-density debate
1:12:24 - Cloudflare's 1,100 layoffs and AI as scapegoat
1:27:42 - RCS encryption, Android Intrusion Logging, Seedworm & Kazuar

Links:

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The disappointing death of big-game APT reporting

( Presented by TLPBLACK : A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals. ) Three Buddy Problem - Episode 98 : We dive back into the fast16 malware discovery with fresh speculation that it's targeting spherical implosion simulations for Iran's nuclear program, and wonder who on earth is qualified to confirm this. Plus, thoughts on OpenAI's new three-tier cyber access program, Microsoft's MDASH harness, the 10x Patch Tuesday tsunami, Cloudflare's 1,100 layoffs blamed on AI, and why frontier-lab guardrails may just be elaborate security theater. Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade , Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu . Timestamps: 0:00 - Introductory banter 3:19 - fast16 update: spherical implosion simulations? 9:01 - Manhattan Project precedent — why this matches Iran 12:28 - Who can actually reproduce the FAST 16 attack? 19:32 - Google GTIG's "AI-written" zero-day 22:13 - The rise of AI-backend "silent detections" 25:54 - Guardrails as security theater 38:47 - Are the 10x patch numbers real defense? 43:48 - OpenAI's Trusted Access tiers + Microsoft MDASH 53:35 - End of the ‘patch-and-pray’ model 57:50 - Sean Heelan: strict harnesses can make models worse 1:03:51 - Pwn2Own Berlin overflow and bug-density debate 1:12:24 - Cloudflare's 1,100 layoffs and AI as scapegoat 1:27:42 - RCS encryption, Android Intrusion Logging, Seedworm & Kazuar Links: Transcript fast16 malware targeting spherical implosion simulations fast16 | Mystery Shadow Brokers Reference Reveals High-Precision Software Sabotage 5 Years Before Stuxnet Cracking the Fast16 sabotage malware mystery GTIG on AI Exploit Generation Discovery iOS 26.5 Security Bulletin End-to-end encrypted RCS messaging hits beta Android adds 'Intrusion Logging' feature Google: Log your Android device activity Microsoft MDASH new multi-model agentic security system Daybreak | OpenAI for cybersecurity Pwn2Own 2026 Capacity Overflow, Hackers Drop 0-Days Solo Seedworm: Iran-Linked Hackers Breached Korean Electronics Maker Kazuar: Anatomy of a nation-state botnet (Microsoft) Ekoparty Miami LABScon 2026 TLPBLACK